RVN: Iran 1978 – the alliance that did not hold

In 1978 the streets of Iran filled with people who wanted the Shah gone.
Students, leftists, bazaar merchants, clerics, nationalists. Different groups, one clear target: the monarchy and its Western-backed order.

For a while it looked like a broad front.
The liberals and the Islamists marched in the same direction. Both rejected the Shah’s rule. Both wanted change. On the surface the goals overlapped enough to hold.

That overlap did not last.

What followed

The Shah left in January 1979.
Ayatollah Khomeini returned. The provisional government that included more secular and liberal figures did not last.

By 1979–1980 the clerics consolidated control. The constitution that emerged gave the Supreme Leader decisive power. Opposition papers were closed. Leftist groups that had fought the Shah were later crushed. Universities were purged. The war with Iraq that began in 1980 further tightened the grip.

The people who had wanted a freer, more open system after the Shah did not get it.
The people who had wanted an Islamic republic did.

The pattern

Broad coalitions against a common enemy can look strong while the enemy is still standing.
Once that enemy falls, the differences that were set aside become the next fight.

In Iran the liberals and secular nationalists did not disappear overnight. They were outmaneuvered, sidelined, and in many cases suppressed. The alliance had served its purpose. The more organized and ideologically clear group remained.

This is not unique to 1978.
It is a recurring sequence: shared opposition, temporary cooperation, then one side sets the new rules.

OIM way out

Not every alliance is a trap.
But the price of joining one is usually paid after the common target is gone.

Look at who stays organized when the street empties.
Look at who already has a clear idea of what comes next.
And ask, before the dust settles, whether the temporary overlap of goals is enough to protect the outcome you actually want.

Question for you

When different groups stand together against one opponent, how often does the most organized side decide what replaces him?

#Iran #1978 #Alliance #RealityVsNarrative #RVN #OpenInternetManifest

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